{"id":3525,"date":"2026-11-11T17:25:18","date_gmt":"2026-11-11T14:25:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kirmizibulten.com.tr\/?p=3525"},"modified":"2026-11-11T17:26:48","modified_gmt":"2026-11-11T14:26:48","slug":"3525","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kirmizibulten.com.tr\/index.php\/2026\/11\/11\/3525\/","title":{"rendered":""},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Ankara Kulislerinde Asgari \u00dccret Senaryolar\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u200bAral\u0131k ay\u0131nda toplanmas\u0131 beklenen Asgari \u00dccret Tespit Komisyonu \u00f6ncesinde, Ankara kulislerinde ilk tahminler ve rakamsal senaryolar konu\u015fulmaya ba\u015fland\u0131:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u200b<strong>%30 Zam Senaryosu (\u00d6ne \u00c7\u0131kan Ba\u015fl\u0131ca \u0130htimal):<\/strong> Kulislerde en \u00e7ok dillendirilen ilk senaryo, asgari \u00fccrete yakla\u015f\u0131k %30 oran\u0131nda bir art\u0131\u015f yap\u0131lmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde.<ul><li>\u200bBu oran hayata ge\u00e7erse, mevcut net <strong>28.075,50 TL<\/strong> olan asgari \u00fccret net <strong>36.498 TL<\/strong> seviyesine, br\u00fct tutar ise yakla\u015f\u0131k <strong>42.939 TL<\/strong> seviyesine y\u00fckselecek.<\/li><\/ul>.<ul><li>\u200b<strong>%33 Zam Alternatifi:<\/strong> Vergi istisnas\u0131 ve refah pay\u0131 d\u00fczenlemelerine g\u00f6re %33 civar\u0131nda bir art\u0131\u015f ihtimali de hesaplamalara d\u00e2hil ediliyor. Bu senaryoda net \u00fccretin <strong>37.537 TL<\/strong> band\u0131na yakla\u015faca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/li><\/ul><ul><li>\u200b<strong>Sosyal Taraflar\u0131n De\u011ferlendirmesi:<\/strong> \u0130\u015f\u00e7i sendikalar\u0131 (T\u00fcrk-\u0130\u015f) ve sosyal g\u00fcvenlik uzmanlar\u0131, mevcut a\u00e7l\u0131k s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n (yakla\u015f\u0131k 38.000 TL) alt\u0131nda kalmayacak, hayat pahal\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ile enflasyon hedeflerini dengeleyecek bir d\u00fczenlemenin \u015fart oldu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7ekiyor.<\/li><\/ul>\u200b<strong>Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB) Enflasyon Beklentileri<\/strong> \u200bT\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klayaca\u011f\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n 4. ve son <strong>Enflasyon Raporu<\/strong> \u00f6ncesinde piyasalardaki beklentiler ve mevcut g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm \u015fu \u015fekildedir:<ul><li>\u200b<strong>Resm\u00ee TCMB Tahminleri (3. Rapor Durumu):<\/strong> Merkez Bankas\u0131, A\u011fustos ay\u0131nda yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 3. Enflasyon Raporu&#8217;nda 2026 y\u0131l sonu enflasyon tahminini %26&#8217;dan <strong>%28&#8217;e<\/strong> y\u00fckseltmi\u015fti. Bankan\u0131n 2027 y\u0131l sonu tahmini %15, 2028 tahmini ise %9 seviyesinde bulunuyor.<\/li><\/ul>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u200b<strong>Piyasa ve Ekonomist Beklentileri:<\/strong><ul><li>\u200bFinans analistleri ve piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n medyan beklentisine g\u00f6re, TCMB&#8217;nin 2026 y\u0131l sonu enflasyon tahminini <strong>%29,50<\/strong> seviyesine revize etmesi bekleniyor.<\/li><li>\u200b2027 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in OVP (Orta Vadeli Program) hedefi olan <strong>%21<\/strong> seviyesine uyum sa\u011flan\u0131p sa\u011flanmayaca\u011f\u0131 ve Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n %15&#8217;lik hedefini yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekip \u00e7ekmeyece\u011fi yak\u0131ndan izleniyor.<\/li><\/ul>. \u200bAsgari \u00fccret g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinde resmi maratonun ba\u015flamas\u0131yla birlikte hem ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen enflasyon verileri hem de TCMB\u2019nin y\u0131l sonu ve gelecek y\u0131l hedefleri temel pazarl\u0131k zeminini olu\u015fturacak.\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ankara Kulislerinde Asgari \u00dccret Senaryolar\u0131 \u200bAral\u0131k ay\u0131nda toplanmas\u0131 beklenen Asgari&#46;&#46;&#46;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":3529,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"kanews_primary_category":"0","footnotes":""},"categories":[37,1],"tags":[],"manset":[],"bilesen":[],"class_list":["post-3525","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gundem","category-genel"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kirmizibulten.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3525","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kirmizibulten.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kirmizibulten.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kirmizibulten.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kirmizibulten.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3525"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/kirmizibulten.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3525\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3530,"href":"https:\/\/kirmizibulten.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3525\/revisions\/3530"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kirmizibulten.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3529"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kirmizibulten.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3525"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kirmizibulten.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3525"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kirmizibulten.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3525"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kirmizibulten.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=3525"},{"taxonomy":"bilesen","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kirmizibulten.com.tr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/bilesen?post=3525"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}